Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Bergantiños		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.33	2.9	3.05
	2.05	3.17	3.53	Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.34	2.98	3.14
	2.33	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	2.98 ↓ (3.38)	3.21 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
41%

Draw
30.6%

Guijuelo
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

27.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Bergantiños - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Pana ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Moreno C. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Gomez Gonzalez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 2, Remeseiro M. ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, Montes S. R. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Bergantiños is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guijuelo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bergantiños will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bergantiños won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
18.12.24	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Escobedo - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Langreo - Bergantiños	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTLW
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.12.24	Coruxo - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Guijuelo - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Numancia - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Rayo Cantabria - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Guijuelo - Escobedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.08.24	Guijuelo - Bergantiños	0:0
22.04.23	Bergantiños - Guijuelo	1:1
10.12.22	Guijuelo - Bergantiños	3:1

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