Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	Bergantiños		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.1
	2.29	2.87	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.39	3.12	3.02
	2.28	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
39.7%

Draw
31.4%

Real Ávila
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Bergantiños - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Sarriana - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bergantiños - Sámano	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lealtad - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Bergantiños - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Bergantiños - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWL
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
21.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Coruxo - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Vallecano	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	2:1
09.03.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	0:1
26.10.24	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	2:1

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