Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Bergantiños		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	3.95
	1.77	3.44	4.49
	1.74	3.54	4.34	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.72	3.38	4.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	4.26 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
52.3%

Draw
26.3%

Sarriana
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

27.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sarriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Bergantiños - Sarriana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Berardozzi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Bergantiños has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarriana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bergantiños may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bergantiños is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bergantiños won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bergantinos	5	4	1	0	12:5	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Bergantiños - Coruxo	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Salamanca - Bergantiños	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bergantiños - Lealtad	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWL
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.04.26	Sarriana - Sámano	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Numancia - Sarriana	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Sarriana - Langreo	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sarriana - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Real Ávila - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Sarriana - Bergantiños	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
31.03.24	Sarriana - Bergantiños	0:1
12.11.23	Bergantiños - Sarriana	1:1

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