Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Royston Town

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.33	5.5
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.46	5.2	5.07
	1.47	5.2	5.07
	1.5	3.8	5
	1.42	4.5	5.7
	1.45	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.53 ↑ (4.08)	5.33 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
62.7%

Draw
20.2%

Royston Town
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

22.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

20.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Royston Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Royston Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coalville Town - Royston Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coalville won 1.

Recent matches Coalville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Royston is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Coalville is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Coalville won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.12.23	Needham Market - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
05.12.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTL
- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.12.23	Royston Town - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Redditch United - Royston Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Royston Town - Barwell	0:3 ✺
18.11.23	Stratford Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Royston Town - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Royston Town - Coalville Town	1:3
English Southern League Central Division
26.08.23	Royston Town - Coalville Town	2:0
03.12.22	Royston Town - Coalville Town	1:1
20.08.22	Coalville Town - Royston Town	2:2
05.04.22	Coalville Town - Royston Town	2:3
23.10.21	Royston Town - Coalville Town	2:2
18.01.20	Coalville Town - Royston Town	1:4

Coalville Town - Royston Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide