Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.35	3.1
	2.12	3.26	3.27
	2.09	3.55	3.23	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.05	3.32	3.21
	2.05	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.91)	3.33 ↓ (3.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
44.1%

Draw
27.4%

Taunton Town
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Berkhamsted - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Rice J. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Harding M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, HIll M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Mitchell P. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, Mitchell P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Berkhamsted has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Taunton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Berkhamsted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Berkhamsted could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berkhamsted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Taunton	9	4	1	4	23:22	1	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11:14	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
10.02.26	Bracknell Town - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Plymouth Parkway - Berkhamsted	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Berkhamsted - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sholing - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Berkhamsted - Uxbridge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTTW
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
17.01.26	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Taunton Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
23.12.25	Hungerford Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Taunton Town - Berkhamsted	1:2

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