Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Besa Kavajë		Iliria

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.55	5.7
	1.53	3.61	5.94	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.75
	1.55	3.83	5.69	Watch
	1.52	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	5.68 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besa Kavajë
59.4%

Draw
24.7%

Iliria
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.4%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Besa Kavajë - Iliria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Besa (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Besa (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Besa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Chinwendu G. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Lika G. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 1, Cordeiro W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Besa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Besa is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Besa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besa Kavajë
Albanian First Division
14.12.25	Lushnja - Besa Kavajë	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Besa Kavajë - Burreli	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Apolonia Fier - Besa Kavajë	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Korabi Peshkopi	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL
- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
17.12.25	Iliria - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Iliria - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kukësi - Iliria	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pogradeci - Iliria	0:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Iliria - Besa Kavajë	2:1

Besa Kavajë - Iliria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide