Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	SportKlub 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Beşiktaş		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.25
	1.45	4.5	6.53	Watch
	1.48	4.58	6.33	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.51	4.63	6.73	Watch
	1.45	4.5	6.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.37)	4.5 ↓ (4.72)	6.34 ↓ (8.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
64.3%

Draw
20.9%

Bodrumspor
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

19.9%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

19.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beşiktaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Beşiktaş - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (C) 4. Bulut O. 22. Zaynutdinov B. 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 73. Ndour C. 83. Fernandes G. 27. Rafa Silva 18. Joao Mario 23. Muci E. 17. Immobile C.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 33. Celustka O. (C) 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 5. Antalyali T. 26. Mohammed M. 41. Bayrakdar G. 16. Fredy 70. Bilsel E. 99. Seferi T.
Substitutes
6. Al Musrati 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 77. Keles C. 9. Kilicsoy S. 71. Onana J. 15. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 7. Rashica M. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S.	53. Akkan G. (G) 21. Aslan A. 95. Basol O. 20. Brazao P. 7. Dimitrov Z. 48. Dumanli C. 23. Ergun U. 29. Herelle C. 9. Puscas G. 8. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Okta H.	Demirel V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Fernandes G. ↓, Al Musrati ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Ndour C. ⚽, Rafa Silva (A),
40', 2 - 0, Immobile C. ⚽, Bulut O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sen C. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
62', Muci E. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
67', Celustka O. ↓, Ergun U. ↑,
67', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
70', Joao Mario ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
77', Mohammed M. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
77', Seferi T. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
85', Rafa Silva 🟨,
89', Rafa Silva ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
89', Immobile C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Puscas G. ⚽, Fredy (A),
90+7', Aytemur A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bodrumspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beşiktaş have a series of guest games.

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Sanuc T. T. (Hamstring Injury) Svensson J. (Yellow Cards) Terzi E. (Ankle Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Ozdamar S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Gabriel Paulista (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.01.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
16.12.24	Adana Demirspor - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Bodø Glimt - Beşiktaş	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTTLL
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Cup
08.01.25	Kırklarelispor - Bodrumspor	4:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
05.01.25	Bodrumspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Kastamonuspor - Bodrumspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.12.24	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLWW

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