Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Bodrumspor		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.12	3.34	3.43	Watch
	2.04	3.37	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.7
	2.06	3.29	3.81	Watch
	2.12	3.34	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.5)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	3.62 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
45.4%

Draw
28.6%

Kayserispor
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodrumspor's performance.

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kayserispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodrumspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	12.5%	16.7%

Bodrumspor - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 70. Bilsel E. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 5. Antalyali T. 26. Mohammed M. 41. Bayrakdar G. 16. Fredy (C) 7. Dimitrov Z. 99. Seferi T.	1. Piri O. (G) 11. Sazdagi G. 3. Attamah J. 17. Jeanvier J. 4. Kolovetsios D. 8. Kayra Yilmaz K. 26. Gezek B. A. 70. Boa Morte A. 7. Cardoso M. 33. Kaldirim H. A. 13. Bahoken S.
Substitutes
53. Akkan G. (G) 21. Aslan A. 20. Brazao P. 33. Celustka O. 48. Dumanli C. 23. Ergun U. 29. Herelle C. 19. Osman H. 9. Puscas G. 8. Yalcin S.	79. Ackah Y. 25. Bayazit B. (G) 23. Carole L. 28. Civelek R. 77. Korkmaz N. 20. Mane C. 9. Nazon D. 35. Ozgan B. 99. Sariarslan T. 19. Uzodimma A.
Coaches
Demirel V.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Seferi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Bahoken S. ⚽, Boa Morte A. (A),
53', Antalyali T. 🟨,
54', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
56', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
56', Cardoso M. 🟨,
62', Bahoken S. ↓, Nazon D. ↑,
66', Antalyali T. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
75', Kaldirim H. A. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
75', Cardoso M. ↓, Carole L. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Sen C. ⚽, Seferi T. (A),
85', Jeanvier J. 🟨,
86', Gezek B. A. ↓, Civelek R. ↑,
86', Kayra Yilmaz K. ↓, Ackah Y. ↑,
86', Mohammed M. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
86', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
90+2', Carole L. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Recent matches Bodrumspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kayserispor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bodrumspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kayserispor: Bourabia M. (Yellow Cards) Hosseini M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Bayazit B. (Injury) Kocaman A. (Injury) Mane C. (Muscle Injury) Ozbek E. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
22.12.24	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Kastamonuspor - Bodrumspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.12.24	Bodrumspor - Sivasspor	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	4:0 ✺
23.11.24	Bodrumspor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
22.12.24	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	1:5 ✺
15.12.24	Antalyaspor - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Kayserispor - Alanyaspor	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

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