Match Info

Super Lig - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 7
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	Orange TV Go
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7


	Samsunspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.96	Watch
	3.4	3.54	2.01	Watch
	3.18	3.68	2.24
	3.16	3.69	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.62	3.68	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.77)	3.6 ↓ (3.72)	2.07 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
28.2%

Draw
26.2%

Beşiktaş
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.1%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

26.3%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Samsunspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 29. Makoumbou A. 10. Ntcham O. 70. Coulibaly T. 21. Holse C. 11. Kilinc E. 9. Marius	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 14. Uduokhai F. 33. Yilmaz R. 23. Asllani K. 11. Under C. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 15. Olaitan J. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
23. Albak E. 55. Cift Y. E. 15. Diabbate A. B. 28. Gonul S. 20. Kayan Y. 2. Mendes J. 19. Ndiaye C. 77. Sousa A. 7. Tavsan E. 33. Ustun E. (G)	22. Bulut T. 18. Cerny V. 35. Djalo T. 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M. 25. Sazdagi G. 8. Ucan S. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Fink T.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Satka L. 🟨,
41', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Holse C. ⚽, Ntcham O. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Coulibaly T. ⚽, Kilinc E. (A),
65', Toure E. B. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
65', Under C. ↓, Cerny V. ↑,
65', Murillo M. 🟨,
70', Kilinc E. 🟨,
72', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
72', Marius ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
78', Kokcu O. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
82', Coulibaly T. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
82', Ntcham O. ↓, Kayan Y. ↑,
88', Destanoglu E. 🟨,
88', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
88', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
89', Makoumbou A. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Asllani K. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Kayan Y. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 0.

Samsunspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beşiktaş has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Beşiktaş is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J. (Knee Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Satka L. (Broken Hand) Yuksel C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Topcu E. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Holse C. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12
16	Samsunspor	7	1	1	5	6:15	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Beşiktaş - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 48.23%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
13.04.26	Eyüpspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Samsunspor - Konyaspor	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
15.03.26	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLTWW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
10.04.26	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Gençlerbirliği - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Beşiktaş - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
23.11.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1
18.01.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:0
11.08.24	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	0:2
13.04.24	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1
26.11.23	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	1:2
01.04.12	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:1

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