Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	AFC Leopards		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	1.72	2.98	4.95
	1.72	3.03	5.29
	1.78	2.8	5.72	Watch
	1.7	3	5
	1.68	3.36	5.34
	1.7	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)	3.05 ↑ (2.89)	5.22 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Leopards
52.8%

Draw
29.8%

Ulinzi Stars
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

31.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Leopards's performance.

Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leopards will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ulinzi Stars will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leopards (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ulinzi Stars (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Otieno T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Leopards has had a series of away games.

In this match, Leopards is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 0.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTTL
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
11.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ulinzi Stars - Bandari	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars	1:3 ✺
19.11.25	APS Bomet - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
23.04.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	0:0
03.11.24	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	2:0
07.01.24	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	1:0
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.07.23	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	0:1
Kenyan Premier League
03.05.23	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	0:1
19.11.22	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	0:2
29.10.21	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	0:2

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