Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 23

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday


	Biggleswade Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.16	3.5	2.85
	2.31	3.65	2.63
	2.19	3.74	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.17	3.35	2.95
	2.28	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (3.05)	3.52 ↑ (3.47)	2.79 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biggleswade Town
41.4%

Draw
25.9%

Alvechurch
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biggleswade Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biggleswade Town's performance.

Alvechurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvechurch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biggleswade Town than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Biggleswade Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvechurch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Biggleswade Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Users Predictions: Alvechurch will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 0, Izekor D. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Willis J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Biggleswade Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alvechurch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Biggleswade Town won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Biggleswade Town won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Biggleswade Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.12.24	Kettering Town - Biggleswade Town	3:1 ✺
17.12.24	Biggleswade Town - Harborough Town	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Redditch United - Biggleswade Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Biggleswade Town - Totton	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
03.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Biggleswade Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LLTWT
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
26.12.24	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Harborough Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Alvechurch - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Boston United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
30.11.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Alvechurch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
17.08.24	Alvechurch - Biggleswade Town	2:1
04.12.21	Biggleswade Town - Alvechurch	1:1
25.09.21	Alvechurch - Biggleswade Town	1:0
17.10.20	Biggleswade Town - Alvechurch	2:1
28.09.19	Alvechurch - Biggleswade Town	1:1
16.02.19	Alvechurch - Biggleswade Town	2:1
01.12.18	Biggleswade Town - Alvechurch	4:2

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