Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Lowestoft Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.75	1.8
	3.4	3.85	1.83
	3.62	3.98	1.86
	3.64	3.76	1.79
	3.4	3.85	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	3.84 ↓ (3.86)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lowestoft Town
26.2%

Draw
23.7%

Stourbridge
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

23.6%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

22.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lowestoft Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Sayer H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
79', 1 - 1, McLeod E. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, O'shea E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 2.

Recent matches Lowestoft is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stourbridge has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lowestoft could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stourbridge is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.9:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Lowestoft won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Alvechurch	0:4 ✺
07.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Stamford	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Redditch United - Lowestoft Town	3:4 ✺
28.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Barwell	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Leiston - Lowestoft Town	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWL
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.25	Spalding United - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	St Ives Town - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Stourbridge - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Stourbridge - Stamford	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.11.24	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	4:0
12.04.22	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	2:0
23.10.21	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	3:0
29.02.20	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	2:0
18.02.20	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	2:1
02.02.19	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	1:0
03.11.18	Stourbridge - Lowestoft Town	3:1

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