Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Billericay Town		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.2	7.6
	1.28	5.39	9.11
	1.25	4.75	8.5
	1.29	5.6	7.2
	1.25	5.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	5.29 ↑ (4.74)	8.18 ↓ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billericay Town
71.7%

Draw
17.2%

Brightlingsea Regent
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

19.4%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

9.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Brightlingsea Regent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-37.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Billericay Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brightlingsea Regent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Billericay Town - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Billericay will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Brightlingsea will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brightlingsea: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Billericay is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brightlingsea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brightlingsea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brightlingsea have a series of guest games.

In this match Billericay is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Billericay won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Billericay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.22	Billericay Town - Aveley	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Cray Wanderers - Billericay Town	4:3 ✺
10.12.22	Billericay Town - Corinthian-Casuals	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Herne Bay - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
02.12.22	Margate - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTT
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.12.22	Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0 ✺
03.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Herne Bay - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.08.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Billericay Town	2:0
05.04.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Billericay Town	1:1
12.09.17	Billericay Town - Brightlingsea Regent	4:0

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