Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Folkestone Invicta		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.37	4.7	6
	1.41	5	6.21
	1.57	3.75	4.5
	1.37	4.85	6.35
	1.44	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.69)	4.47 ↑ (3.74)	5.89 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
64.1%

Draw
20.4%

Brightlingsea Regent
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.4%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folkestone Invicta's performance.

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brightlingsea Regent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brightlingsea Regent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Folkestone will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brightlingsea will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Folkestone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Folkestone have a series of guest games.

In this match Folkestone is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.22	Lewes - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Haringey Borough - Folkestone Invicta	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	2:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Kingstonian - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Aveley	0:6 ✺
25.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	5:0 ✺
22.10.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.03.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	2:2
09.10.21	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	5:1
24.10.20	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	1:2
04.01.20	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	0:0
05.10.19	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	3:2
19.01.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Folkestone Invicta	2:0
29.09.18	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	2:3

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