Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Canvey Island		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.25	7.75
	1.26	5.2	7.8
	1.31	5.6	7.76
	1.27	4.6	8.5
	1.26	5.5	8.5
	1.25	5.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	5.28 ↑ (4.9)	8.14 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
71.6%

Draw
17.2%

Brightlingsea Regent
11.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.4%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

16.3%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Canvey Island will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Brightlingsea will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canvey Island: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Canvey Island is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brightlingsea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brightlingsea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Canvey Island is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Canvey Island won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Canvey Island won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.22	Hastings United - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Canvey Island - Folkestone Invicta	3:0 ✺
26.11.22	Billericay Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Herne Bay - Canvey Island	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTW
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.12.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Herne Bay - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Canvey Island	1:5
English FA Trophy
27.10.18	Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1

Canvey Island - Brightlingsea Regent