Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Brightlingsea Regent		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	8	4.8	1.28
	6.1	4.4	1.3
	7.6	5.2	1.27
	7.79	5.29	1.33
	6	4.33	1.36
	8.4	5.55	1.26
	8	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.41 ↑ (4.47)	4.94 ↑ (4.45)	1.3 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brightlingsea Regent
12.2%

Draw
18.3%

Hornchurch
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

20.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

19.5%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brightlingsea Regent's form might have worsened.

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brightlingsea Regent, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brightlingsea will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hornchurch will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 2.

Brightlingsea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hornchurch is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hornchurch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Brightlingsea won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Aveley	0:6 ✺
25.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	5:0 ✺
22.10.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLT
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.22	Billericay Town - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
12.11.22	Aveley - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Hornchurch - Haringey Borough	3:3 ✺
29.10.22	Margate - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.04.22	Hornchurch - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0
03.01.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:5
28.12.19	Hornchurch - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0
26.08.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:0
22.12.18	Hornchurch - Brightlingsea Regent	1:2
English FA Trophy
10.11.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	2:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.08.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Hornchurch	1:1

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