Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Balzan		Żabbar St. Patrick

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.9
	1.83	3.63	4
	1.73	3.6	4
	1.74	3.64	4.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.62 ↑ (3.61)	3.98 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
51.9%

Draw
25.2%

Żabbar St. Patrick
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

20.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Balzan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żabbar St. Patrick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ciappara D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 10. Busuttil J. 2. Camilleri G. 7. Caruana T. 80. Cerezo 42. Floro R. 22. Grech J. 77. Kamsoba E. 17. Stanic H.	24. Grech M. (C) 10. Gambarte B. 13. Grech Z. 11. Ilic S. 31. Joao Pedro 21. Jovancic S. 30. Keqi K. 5. Micallef J. 19. Tavares D. 28. Vinicius Paiva 8. Wallace Bonilha
Substitutes
44. Borg W. 21. Buschman-Dormond C. 19. Farrugia G. 99. Golovic D. (G) 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 4. May O. 12. Vella N. (G) 9. Westendorf I. 23. Zerjal N.	23. Agius L. 16. Akpan E. I. . Buhagiar K. 1. Camilleri L. (G) 22. Davey I. 3. Davey S. 29. Fava D. 55. Jovicic D. 95. Marcelo Santos 7. Martim Augusto . Pulis B.
Coaches
Willard D.	Parisi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Arab S. 🟨,
9', Micallef J. 🟨,
10', Kamsoba E. ↓, Hili B. ↑,
12', 1 - 0, Hili B. ⚽,
23', Ilic S. 🟨,
35', Hili B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ilic S. ↓, Marcelo Santos ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Gambarte B. ⚽,
60', Hili B. ↓, Westendorf I. ↑,
62', Joao Pedro ↓, Martim Augusto ↑,
75', Tavares D. ↓, Agius L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Marcelo Santos ⚽,
80', Marcelo Santos 🟨,
82', Gambarte B. ↓, Jovicic D. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Balzan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Balzan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Including matches at home between the teams Balzan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
24.11.24	Marsaxlokk - Balzan	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Mosta - Balzan	2:2 ✺
01.11.24	Balzan - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Floriana - Balzan	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
24.11.24	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Melita	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	4:2 ✺
20.10.24	Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.09.24	Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2

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