Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Birkirkara		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.48	3.65	6.1	Watch
	1.6	3.75	6.72
	1.25	6.11	8.57	Watch
	1.45	3.7	7.09
	1.3	4.15	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.3)	4.27 ↑ (4.15)	6.96 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkirkara
65.1%

Draw
21.6%

Naxxar Lions
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.6%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (G) 22. Busuttil J. 24. Lacunza L. (C) 2. Lopez F. 77. Macula 59. Makoma D. 5. Marjanovic S. 25. Micallef N. 3. Morello M. 9. Reid K. 27. Sasere F.	1. Debono M. (G) 9. Firmino 30. Guehi S. 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 13. Mariano 21. Micallef M. 8. Pace Cocks N. (C) 19. Rosiel 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
33. Acheampong G. 4. Cordova 30. Cross N. 21. Delicata L. 10. Dimech S. 16. El Hazawi D. (G) 17. Fenech K. 19. Grech M. (G) 29. Maydana M. 14. Pullicino D. 11. Zammit K. II	23. Agius D. 28. Bonanno G. 44. Bugeja F. 7. Fenech M. 99. Friggieri G. 14. Gauci C. 17. Haber K. 31. Hudson M. 22. Kontchou C. 25. Portelli O. 16. Sanchez E.
Coaches
Festa G.	Vella G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sasere F. ⚽,
24', Macula 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 2.

In recent matches, Birkirkara has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Naxxar is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Birkirkara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Birkirkara is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
21.09.25	Birkirkara - Mosta	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Birkirkara	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Birkirkara - Gżira United	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Valletta - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLTT
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
20.09.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Naxxar Lions - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
15.02.25	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	2:1
02.11.24	Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions	1:0
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions	1:0
Maltese Premier League
14.03.24	Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions	0:2
26.11.23	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.23	Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions	3:0
10.08.20	Birkirkara - Naxxar Lions	1:1

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