Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 3

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Birkirkara		Melita

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.4	6.5
	1.37	4.58	8.08
				Watch
	1.4	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.63)	4.33 ↑ (3.73)	7.19 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birkirkara
66.2%

Draw
21.1%

Melita
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birkirkara's performance.

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birkirkara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Birkirkara - Melita Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Birkirkara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Melita will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birkirkara: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volpe G. (G) 27. Coppola A. 30. Cross N. 77. Lekao 59. Makoma D. 91. Maxuell Samurai 25. Micallef N. 3. Morello M. 13. Papazov T. 9. Reid K. 20. Satariano A. (C)	12. Lubik A. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 25. Barone G. 26. Bondin K. 11. Borg O. A. 15. Martinez S. 7. Mohnani K. 29. Motta H. (C) 27. Sanchez C. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M. 14. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
92. Agius N. J. 4. Cordova 7. Dimech S. 17. Fenech K. 6. Gaitan P. 19. Grech M. (G) 23. Magri S. 8. Mbong P. 5. Sandona A. 16. Sylla A. (G) 93. Yikpe G. G.	8. Attard A. 18. Attard E. 6. Attard J. P. 5. Cachia M. 20. Cassar B. 21. Cutajar D. 22. Gyamfi C. 1. Mizzi G. (G) 3. Simanca A. 23. Testaferrata P. G. 19. Yepez J.
Coaches
De Angelis S.	Mizzi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Maxuell Samurai ⚽,
14', Coppola A. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Borg O. A. (Pen),
38', Mohnani K. 🟨,
41', Cross N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bondin K. 🟨,
53', Mohnani K. ↓, Attard J. P. ↑,
57', Cross N. ↓, Cordova ↑,
76', Xuereb D. 🟨,
76', Xuereb D. ↓, Cutajar D. ↑,
78', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
80', Volpe G. ↓, Grech M. ↑,
80', Micallef N. ↓, Yikpe G. G. ↑,
84', Morello M. 🟨,
90+4', Martinez S. ↓, Testaferrata P. G. ↑,
90+5', Sanchez C. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Birkirkara have a series of home games.

In this match Birkirkara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Birkirkara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkirkara FC
Maltese Premier League
18.01.25	Birkirkara - Gżira United	2:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
06.01.25	Birkirkara - Balzan	5:2 ✺
21.12.24	Birkirkara - Floriana	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWWLL
- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
18.01.25	Melita - Floriana	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	4:2 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
04.01.25	Melita - Paola Hibernians	2:3 ✺
22.12.24	Gżira United - Melita	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
23.09.24	Melita - Birkirkara	0:3

Upcoming Matches