Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 1

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Gianni Bencini Ground (Pembroke)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Melita		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.51
	4.98	3.99	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.53
	5.63	4.15	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (3.1)	4.01 ↑ (3.28)	1.52 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
17.3%

Draw
22.7%

Paola Hibernians
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melita's form might have worsened.

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paola Hibernians's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melita, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paola Hibernians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melita - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lubik A. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 6. Attard J. P. (C) 11. Borg O. A. 10. Debattista M. 7. Mohnani K. 29. Motta H. 21. Nick Cutajar 3. Simanca A. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M. 14. Xuereb D.	30. Sacco H. (G) 21. Alex Bruno 4. Alfred S. 29. Bastianos G. 6. Caruana L. 10. Degabriele J. (C) 23. Ellul M. 20. Falcone F. 8. Khevin Fraga 5. Shaw K. 14. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
2. Aquilina A. 8. Attard A. 18. Attard E. 4. Barone G. 26. Bondin K. 5. Cachia M. 20. Cassar B. 77. Martinez S. 15. Micallef J. 1. Mizzi G. (G) 23. Testaferrata P. G.	2. Fenech L. 24. Galea K. (G) 11. Kristensen B. 18. Lyon A. 19. Muscat D. 22. Ohaka J. 1. Sanchez P. (G) 25. Sultana J. 7. Villela L.
Coaches
Mizzi C.	Nisevic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Caruana L. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Falcone F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Simanca A. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Degabriele J. ⚽,
56', Shaw K. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Van de Bovenkamp M. ⚽,
78', Debattista M. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
78', Simanca A. 🟨,
81', Nick Cutajar ↓, Bondin K. ↑,
84', Alfred S. ↓, Villela L. ↑,
87', Mohnani K. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
87', Xuereb D. ↓, Cachia M. ↑,
88', Attard J. P. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Falcone F. ⚽,
90+4', Martinez S. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Melita have a series of home games.

In this match Hibernians is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
22.12.24	Gżira United - Melita	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Melita - Balzan	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Melita - Marsaxlokk	1:3 ✺
25.11.24	Melita - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWLL
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
21.12.24	Paola Hibernians - Hamrun Spartans	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Birkirkara - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
25.10.24	Paola Hibernians - Melita	2:0

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