Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Top 6 - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Gozo Stadium (Gozo)

Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Naxxar Lions		Floriana

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.95	1.48	Watch
	5.11	4.3	1.51
	6.13	4.41	1.43	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.44
	5.34	3.96	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (5.15)	4.1 ↑ (3.8)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
16.5%

Draw
22.2%

Floriana
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.9%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

23.2%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Naxxar Lions - Floriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Azzopardi J. (G) 20. Costa Goncalves G. 7. Fenech M. (C) 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 22. Kontchou C. 21. Micallef M. 9. Pahama N. 4. Theo Kruger 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho	23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 8. Grech J. 19. Jah M. 88. Mbong P. 34. Mendonca I. 24. M'Mombwa C. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
26. Borg J. 17. Bugeja F. 13. Bugeja S. 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 18. Letherby D. 15. Montero Y. 8. Pace Cocks N. 25. Portelli O. 16. Sanchez E. 99. Vella A. (G)	4. Antonio Lara 94. Areias R. 22. Chico Teixeira 9. Dervisagic K. 15. Mabea K. 13. Micallef A. (G) 2. Miceli D. 1. Picon P. (G) 5. Rodgers G. 11. Scerri Z. 27. Vella Newell Z.
Coaches
Muscat W.	Portela D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Grech J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vitinho ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
62', Fenech M. ↓, Pace Cocks N. ↑,
69', Pahama N. 🟥,
80', Kontchou C. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Mabea K. ↑,
83', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
90+6', Cioletti G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 0.

Recent performances by Naxxar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Floriana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Naxxar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Floriana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:51. (average 0.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese FA Trophy
04.04.26	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	4:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
14.03.26	Naxxar Lions - Paola Hibernians	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.03.26	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ET ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWT
- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
14.03.26	Birkirkara - Floriana	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	4:1 ✺
18.02.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.01.26	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	3:1
17.08.25	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	1:3
05.01.25	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	4:0
16.09.24	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	0:2
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	3:9
Maltese Premier League
25.02.24	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	0:3
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	2:0

Naxxar Lions - Floriana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide