Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Petrovic S. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Naxxar Lions		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.39	3.58	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.01	3.18	3.46
	1.83	3.2	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.1)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	3.45 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
45.6%

Draw
28.2%

Tarxien Rainbows
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono M. (G)
10. Farias E. (C)
7. Fenech M.
9. Fourmy C.
5. Gustavo Felipe
33. Joao Moura
3. JP Iseppe
21. Micallef M.
19. Rosiel
24. Vinicius Baiano
11. Vitinho
Substitutes
28. Bonanno G.
17. Bugeja F.
44. Genovese L.
30. Guehi S.
31. Hudson M.
22. Kontchou C.
8. Pace Cocks N.
25. Portelli O.
4. Theo Kruger
99. Vella A. (G)
26. Vella T.
Coaches
. Muscat W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
44', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.

Naxxar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Naxxar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Naxxar has had a series of away games.

Naxxar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
08.01.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
11.12.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLT
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
08.01.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2 ✺
19.12.25	Gżira United - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Paola Hibernians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.09.25	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	2:3
Maltese Challenge League
31.03.23	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1
29.01.23	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	0:3
10.09.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	1:1
Maltese Premier League
12.02.18	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	5:2
13.10.17	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2
27.02.16	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	0:3

Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide