Match Info

Date: 21 March 2022, Monday


	Blackburn Rovers U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.75	3.65	3.65
	1.7	3.8	3.6
	1.71	4.3	3.81
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.67	4.4	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.12)	3.86 ↑ (3.47)	3.63 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers U23
51.7%

Draw
23.4%

Derby County U23
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackburn Rovers U23's performance.

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers U23 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackburn Rovers U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blackburn Rovers U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn U23 won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Derby U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Blackburn U23 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Blackburn U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers U23
English Premier League 2
14.03.22	Arsenal U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	2:2 ✺
20.02.22	Liverpool U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	1:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.02.22	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Queens Park Rangers U23	3:6 ✺
English Premier League 2
04.02.22	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Brighton & Hove Albion U23	6:0 ✺
24.01.22	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Leeds United U23	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLWW
- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
13.03.22	Derby County U23 - Leicester City U23	0:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.03.22	Derby County U23 - Sheffield United U23	4:3 ET ✺
English Premier League 2
25.02.22	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	5:2 ✺
21.02.22	Derby County U23 - Everton U23	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.02.22	Reading U23 - Derby County U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
05.11.21	Derby County U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	6:0
23.04.21	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Derby County U23	0:2
21.12.20	Derby County U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	3:5
03.02.20	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Derby County U23	2:0
29.09.19	Derby County U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	1:0
14.01.19	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Derby County U23	1:3
13.08.18	Derby County U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	2:2

Blackburn Rovers U23 - Derby County U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide