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Current Win Probability
Birmingham Legion 28.2%
Draw 26.8%
Rhode Island 45%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
26.4%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
26.3%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Rhode Island will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 21. Tregarthen S. 27. Washington B. 3. Kavita P. 77. Brown N. 6. McIllhatton S. 18. Antwi S. 16. Vassell P. 10. Shashoua S. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
1. Koke Vegas (G) 22. Scardina N. 5. Stoneman G. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Sanchez A. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 17. Kwizera J. 10. Rodriguez A. 11. Fuson N. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
8. Cole K. 26. Daley A. 11. McCartney D. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 17. Williams R.
7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 32. Diop H. 2. Rovira D. 14. Tsukada Y. 19. Vang K. 25. Williams C.
Coaches
Heaps J.
Smith K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Diarbian G. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Damus R. ⚽,
70', Sanchez A. ↓, Tsukada Y. ↑,
70', Rodriguez A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
76', Vassell P. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
79', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
79', Scardina N. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
83', Rovira D. 🟨,
85', Koleilat J. 🟨,
88', Shashoua S. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
88', Brown N. ↓, Daley A. ↑,
90', Atkinson D. 🟨,
90+1', Fuson N. ↓, Vang K. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rhode Island is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rhode Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Rhode Island will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).