Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Vincze R. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Charleston Battery

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.30	3.50	1.85
	3.45	3.5	1.92
	3.87	3.88	1.89
	3.56	3.87	1.89	Watch
	3.55	3.85	1.9
	3.56	3.66	1.94
	3.45	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.19)	3.67 ↓ (4.06)	1.9 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
26.2%

Draw
25.2%

Charleston Battery
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.9%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

21.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charleston Battery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Loudoun United - Charleston Battery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Bandre E. (G) 7. Niyongabire P. 24. Erlandson J. (C) 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. 21. Akinyode B. 22. Torres C. 11. Aboukoura A. 19. Aman R. 9. Davis III E.	56. Zamudio L. (G) 5. Suber S. 16. Smith G. 22. Akpunonu J. 3. Messer N. 8. Ycaza E. (C) 88. Pakhomov K. 99. Foster M. 13. Cabrera A. 29. Kelly J. 90. Berry M.
Substitutes
2. Adnan N. 38. Barrus L. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 18. Lomtadze G. 39. Marcos Dias 33. Piras L. 10. Santos P. 14. Souper A. 20. Young S.	4. Allan C. 1. Berner J. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 91. Houssou N. 12. Hughes A. 42. Martinez D.
Coaches
Limbrick A.	Pirmann B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Torres C. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
26', Messer N. 🟨,
40', Foster M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Messer N. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
57', Cabrera A. ↓, Blackstock L. ↑,
62', Davis III E. ↓, Lomtadze G. ↑,
62', Lomtadze G. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Blackstock L. ⚽, Martinez D. (A),
75', Foster M. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
76', Mazzaferro S. ↓, Souper A. ↑,
76', Murphy J. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
85', Pakhomov K. ↓, Houssou N. ↑,
85', Kelly J. ↓, Hughes A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 0.

Loudoun has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Charleston Battery has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charleston Battery could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
01.08.26	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.07.26	Loudoun United - Sporting Jacksonville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTLT
- Charleston Battery
USL Championship
01.08.26	Charleston Battery - Brooklyn	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Charleston Battery	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Charleston Battery - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Charleston Battery - Charlotte Independence	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
24.06.26	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1
USL Cup
25.04.26	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:2
USL Championship
24.08.25	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	4:1
07.06.25	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:1
26.10.24	Charleston Battery - Loudoun United	2:1
24.07.24	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:2
16.09.23	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	2:2

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