Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Southwest University Park (El Paso, TX)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	El Paso Locomotive		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.18	3.45	2.92
	2.19	3.55	3.29
	2.23	3.14	3.23	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.88
	2.14	3.16	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)	3.35 ↑ (3.22)	3.07 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Paso Locomotive
42.6%

Draw
27.4%

Lexington
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

28.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

El Paso Locomotive - Lexington Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lexington will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 18. Quezada A. 21. Twumasi K. 15. Dollenmayer N. 12. Ruiz R. 6. Calvillo E. 30. Coronado R. 23. Diaz G. 19. Mendez A. 16. Gabriel Torres 9. Abitia D.	17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 4. Ordonez A. 22. Hafferty J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 30. Blessing L. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
Substitutes
2. Cardona N. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 28. Mora O. 10. Moreno A. 99. Romero A. (G) 14. Rubin R. 93. Tony Alfaro	40. Addams G. (G) 14. Caborn A. 18. Henry-Scott M. 28. Kutch T. 11. Midence A. 21. Muir M. 19. Scott T. 20. Yosef M.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Hemmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Quezada A. (Own goal),
29', Abitia D. 🟥,
36', Quezada A. ↓, Rubin R. ↑,
44', 0 - 2, Epps M. ⚽, Nick Firmino (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gabriel Torres ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
55', Twumasi K. 🟨,
62', Coronado R. 🟥,
64', 0 - 3, Goodrum P. ⚽, Molloy A. (A),
69', Diaz G. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
69', Mendez A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', Goodrum P. 🟨,
71', Epps M. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
71', Goodrum P. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
75', Twumasi K. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
79', Ordonez A. 🟨,
79', Blessing L. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Scott T. ⚽,
85', Nick Firmino ↓, Yosef M. ↑,
85', Ordonez A. ↓, Muir M. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Rubin R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

El Paso could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, El Paso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, El Paso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Paso Locomotive
USL Cup
27.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Oakland Roots - El Paso Locomotive	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
29.04.26	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTLW
- Lexington SC
USL Championship
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Lexington - Forward Madison	4:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Orange County SC - Lexington	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.10.25	Lexington - El Paso Locomotive	1:2
05.04.25	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	2:1

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