The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham Legion 36.2%
Draw 28.3%
Detroit City 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
28.3%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
27.5%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Birmingham Legion - Detroit City Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Detroit City will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koleilat J. (G) 77. Brown N. 27. Washington B. 3. Kavita P. (C) 21. Tregarthen S. 18. Antwi S. 10. Shashoua S. 15. Pasher T. 16. Vassell P. 19. Diarbian G. 9. Damus R.
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 20. Hope-Gund R. 33. Silva T. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 3. Stanley A. 8. Diop A. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
8. Cole K. 11. McCartney D. 6. McIllhatton S. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 7. Saucedo S. 17. Williams R.
15. Dalou A. 4. Montgomery C. 9. Morris B. 21. Rodriguez M. 11. Rutz C. 91. Saldana C. (G) 6. Williams R.
Coaches
Heaps J.
Dichio D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Hope-Gund R. ⚽, Hernandez-Foster K. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Pasher T. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Silva T. 🟨,
37', Antwi S. 🟨,
45+5', Damus R. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Hernandez-Foster K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Morris B. ↑,
52', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
69', Vassell P. ↓, Saucedo S. ↑,
69', Tregarthen S. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
70', Shashoua S. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
70', Silva T. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
70', Smith D. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
81', Diop A. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
84', Brown N. 🟨,
86', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
86', Diarbian G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
88', Stanley A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Morris B. ⚽,
90+3', Yamazaki H. ↓, Montgomery C. ↑,
90+9', Saucedo S. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Detroit City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
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Koleilat J. (G) 
Brown N. 
Washington B. 
Kavita P. (C) 
Tregarthen S. 
Antwi S. 
Shashoua S. 
Pasher T. 
Damus R. 
Yamazaki H. 
Diop A. 
Rafa Mentzingen 
Smith D. 
Cole K. 
McIllhatton S. 
Saldana C. (G) 
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