The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oakland Roots 50.9%
Draw 26.1%
Birmingham Legion 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
25.9%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
25.9%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+5%)
Oakland Roots - Birmingham Legion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Spiegel R. (G) 17. Tingey K. 34. Edwards M. 23. Bravo J. 11. de Vicente J. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. 21. Lepley T. 10. Valot F. 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P.
1. Koleilat J. (G) 27. Washington B. 3. Kavita P. 77. Brown N. 26. Daley A. 18. Antwi S. 6. McIllhatton S. 21. Tregarthen S. 16. Vassell P. 7. Saucedo S. 17. Williams R.
Substitutes
77. Bettache F. 12. Gibson T. 15. Hackshaw N. 27. Jacquesson B. 19. Kiil J. 1. McIntosh K. (G) 44. Roberson B. 99. Trejo D.
8. Cole K. 9. Damus R. 19. Diarbian G. 5. Hughes K. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 10. Shashoua S.
Coaches
Martin R.
Heaps J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Tingey K. 🟨,
30', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Vassell P. ⚽, Williams R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Lepley T. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
60', Prentice W. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
60', Bravo J. ↓, Hackshaw N. ↑,
61', Williams R. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
61', Vassell P. ↓, Shashoua S. ↑,
61', Saucedo S. ↓, Diarbian G. ↑,
67', Hackshaw N. 🟨,
68', Diarbian G. 🟨,
70', Washington B. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
77', Edwards M. 🟨,
78', Brown N. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
83', Edwards M. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
83', Valot F. ↓, Bettache F. ↑,
89', Ngoma S. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Wilson P. ⚽, de Vicente J. (A),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Recent form of Oakland Roots has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Birmingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Oakland Roots is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oakland Roots won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Oakland Roots won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).