Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Blackburn Rovers		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.2
	3.47	3.27	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.31	2.4
	3.42	2.96	2.30	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.35	3.24	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.16)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	2.26 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
28.3%

Draw
29.9%

Birmingham City
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	23.8%	57.1%

Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Birmingham will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Birmingham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Toth B. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 5. Hyam D. 15. McLoughlin S. 4. Ribeiro Y. 6. Tronstad S. 8. Tavares S. 19. Hedges R. 10. Cantwell T. (C) 7. Kargbo A. 23. Ohashi Y.	21. Allsop R. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 10. Gray D. 28. Stansfield J. 14. Anderson K. 9. Furuhashi K.
Substitutes
14. De Neve D. 9. Gueye M. 18. Henriksson A. 35. Michalski N. (G) 12. Miller L. 31. Montgomery K. 3. Pickering H. 32. Tyjon I. 16. Wharton S.	25. Beadle J. (G) 41. Cashin E. 7. Doyle T. 17. Dykes L. 27. Fujimoto K. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 2. Laird E. 12. Leonard M. 18. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Ismael V.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cochrane A. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Cantwell T. ⚽,
69', Hedges R. ↓, Miller L. ↑,
76', Iwata T. 🟨,
81', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
81', Anderson K. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
82', Alebiosu R. ↓, Wharton S. ↑,
87', Ohashi Y. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
87', Cantwell T. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
88', Kargbo A. ↓, Henriksson A. ↑,
88', Neumann P. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Stansfield J. (Pen),
90+2', Furuhashi K. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, Dykes L. ⚽, Gray D. (A),
90+9', McLoughlin S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 2.

Blackburn has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Birmingham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Blackburn has had a series of away games.

Birmingham could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H. (Knee Injury) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Garrett J. (Surgery)

There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Ducksch M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.6:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Blackburn Rovers - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 30.07%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	NEC Nijmegen - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Elche - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Qatar SC - Blackburn Rovers	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWW
- Birmingham City
English League Cup
13.08.25	Birmingham City - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
08.08.25	Birmingham City - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Birmingham City - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Northampton Town - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Port Vale - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.02.24	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
29.11.23	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	4:2
01.04.23	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
English FA Cup
31.01.23	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ET
28.01.23	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	2:2
English League Championship
22.10.22	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City	2:1
07.05.22	Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers	1:2

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