The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 44.5%
Draw 29.4%
Blackburn Rovers 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
29.4%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
29.3%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackburn Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackburn Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.9%
25%
7.1%
Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 50.6% – 85.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Swansea (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swansea City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 6. Stamenic M. 35. Ronald 17. Franco G. 7. Widell M. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
22. Toth B. (G) 38. Atcheson T. 15. McLoughlin S. (C) 26. O'Riordan C. 5. Gardner-Hickman T. 24. Baradji M. 6. Tronstad S. 44. Powell B. 47. Doherty A. 29. Jorgensen M. 23. Ohashi Y.
Substitutes
31. Cooper O. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 2. Key J. 41. Parker S. 24. Wales B. 25. Ward J. 8. Yalcouye M.
20. Cashin E. 14. De Neve D. 52. Dlamini N. 28. Forshaw A. 18. Henriksson A. 35. Michalski N. (G) 3. Pickering H. 43. Pratt G. 4. Ribeiro Y.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Ismael V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', O'Riordan C. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Powell B. (A),
45+1', Powell B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, O'Riordan C. (Own goal),
56', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
56', Eom J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
66', Galbraith E. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
66', Widell M. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
73', Powell B. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
73', Doherty A. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
79', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
85', Ronald 🟨,
90+1', Forshaw A. 🟨,
90+4', Burgess C. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 4.
Swansea has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Blackburn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Samuels-Smith I.
(Groin Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H.
(Calf Injury)
Gudjohnsen A.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Leg Injury)
Litherland M.
(Injury)
Morishita R.
(Injury)
Tavares S.
(Inactive)
Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Swansea: 5.14% Blackburn: 0.33%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Swansea
9
6
2
1
15:7
8
20
12
Blackburn
9
3
3
3
14:13
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Swansea City - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.