The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Bilbao B 46%
Draw 30.1%
Sestao 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
32.2%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
33.1%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Santos M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 14. Izaguirre A. 3. De Luis J. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 6. Rego A. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 21. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 19. Azkune E. 9. Sanz I.
13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 23. Efremov A. 21. Miranda A. 19. Rojo J. 8. Garai G. (C) 4. Relu 14. Garcia S. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.
Substitutes
5. Ebro Cortina E. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 23. Hierro A. 16. Lete E. 24. Louis-Jean J. 11. Olabarrieta A. 31. Oyono I. 29. Perez A. 7. Varela I.
2. Alvarez J. 12. Barandalla M. 11. Etxaniz J. 1. Garrido J. (G) 6. Gomez A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 30. Matar P. 7. Planas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Rojo J. 🟨,
35', Bustillo M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Sanz I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Relu ↓, Etxaniz J. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Sanz I. ⚽,
65', Cordoba A. ↓, Martinez Ortiz L. ↑,
65', Rojo J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
66', Bustillo M. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
66', Aznar D. ↓, Barandalla M. ↑,
68', Bujan E. 🟨,
69', Sanz I. ↓, Hierro A. ↑,
74', Bujan E. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
78', Martinez Ortiz L. 🟨,
86', Azkune E. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
90', 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 2.
Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sestao is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Athletic Bilbao B will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
Spain
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Santos M. (G) 
Efremov A. 
Louis-Jean J. 
Matar P. 
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