Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Blackfield & Langley		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.2
	2.69	3.38	2.16
	2.85	3.62	2.25
	2.78	3.62	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.42)	3.56 (3.56)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackfield & Langley
33.2%

Draw
25.6%

Merthyr Town
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

18.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackfield & Langley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackfield & Langley than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackfield & Langley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Merthyr Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blackfield & Langley - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackfield & Langley
English Southern League South Division
18.02.20	Hayes & Yeading United - Blackfield & Langley	6:0 ✺
08.02.20	Farnborough - Blackfield & Langley	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Blackfield & Langley - Chesham United	0:2 ✺
25.01.20	Metropolitan Police - Blackfield & Langley	2:0 ✺
18.01.20	Blackfield & Langley - Harrow Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLW
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
11.02.20	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	4:2 ✺
08.02.20	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
04.02.20	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	Merthyr Town - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
28.01.20	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.10.19	Merthyr Town - Blackfield & Langley	2:0

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