Match Info

League One - Round 46

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Blackpool		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.63	4	4.8
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.52	4.48	5.89
	1.52	4.29	5.72	Watch
	1.62	4	5
	1.5	4.34	5.76	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	4.31 ↓ (4.38)	5.62 ↓ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
61.3%

Draw
21.9%

Bristol Rovers
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.4%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

20.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Blackpool - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackpool (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Blackpool will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tyrer H. (G) 5. Pennington M. 20. Casey O. 12. Baggott E. 15. Coulson H. 25. Apter R. 8. Morgan A. 7. Evans L. (C) 22. Hamilton C. 21. Ennis N. 14. Bloxham T.	31. Ward J. (G) 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 25. Swinkels S. 4. Moore T. 26. Butcher M. 19. Hutchinson I. 6. Mola C. 37. Shaw K. 24. O'Donkor G. 43. Dewsbury O.
Substitutes
18. Beesley J. 28. Finnigan R. 11. Fletcher A. 3. Husband J. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 2. Lyons A. 1. O'Donnell R. (G)	28. Forde S. 35. Hall M. (G) 29. Lindsay J. 30. Reindorf M. 14. Sawyers R. 3. Sousa L. 11. Thomas L.
Coaches
Bruce S.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, O'Donkor G. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Bloxham T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Morgan A. ⚽, Ennis N. (A),
57', Mola C. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
57', O'Donkor G. ↓, Sawyers R. ↑,
61', Apter R. ↓, Fletcher A. ↑,
69', Butcher M. 🟨,
71', Hutchinson I. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
71', Swinkels S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
71', Dewsbury O. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
72', Pennington M. ↓, Lyons A. ↑,
72', Bloxham T. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Ennis N. ⚽, Hamilton C. (A),
77', Ennis N. ↓, Beesley J. ↑,
78', Evans L. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Finnigan R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Bristol Rovers is Relegated to League Two

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 4.

Blackpool is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bristol Rovers is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Blackpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Blackpool is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Blackpool: Carey S. (Injury) Lyons A. (Knee Injury) Silvera S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Hutchinson I. (Concussion) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
30.04.25	Blackpool - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Wigan Athletic - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Blackpool - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Stevenage Borough - Blackpool	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Rotherham United - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWL
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
26.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Reading	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Wrexham - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	0:2
20.01.24	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	1:2
23.12.23	Blackpool - Bristol Rovers	3:1
09.05.21	Blackpool - Bristol Rovers	1:0
02.01.21	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	2:1
15.02.20	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	2:1
03.08.19	Blackpool - Bristol Rovers	2:0

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