Match Info

League One - Round 43

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Wrexham		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	5.75	Watch
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.6	8.21
	1.42	4.37	7.44	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.41	4.65	7.8	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.54 ↑ (4.47)	7.34 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
66.4%

Draw
20.8%

Bristol Rovers
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

21%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

19.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Wrexham - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 50%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. (C) 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 38. Lee E. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 29. Barnett R. 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.	31. Ward J. (G) 32. Hunt J. 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 4. Moore T. 14. Sawyers R. 26. Butcher M. 37. Shaw K. 11. Thomas L. 10. Sotiriou R. 24. O'Donkor G.
Substitutes
13. Burton C. (G) 15. Dobson G. 26. Fletcher S. 11. Marriott J. 7. McClean J. 6. O'Connor T. 24. Scarr D.	28. Forde S. 35. Hall M. (G) 19. Hutchinson I. 29. Lindsay J. 6. Mola C. 7. Sinclair S. 8. Ward G.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Moore T. ⚽, Butcher M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', O'Connell E. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,
49', Thomas L. 🟨,
59', Thomas L. ↓, Mola C. ↑,
59', O'Donkor G. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
63', Barnett R. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
71', Shaw K. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
74', Forde S. 🟨,
75', Brunt L. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, James M. ⚽,
84', Sotiriou R. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
84', Sawyers R. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
85', Lee E. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol Rovers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Wrexham is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Calf Injury) Boyle W. (Calf Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
12.04.25	Wigan Athletic - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Wrexham - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
01.04.25	Cambridge United - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Exeter City - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Wrexham - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWW
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
12.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
01.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.12.24	Bristol Rovers - Wrexham	1:1
English National League
02.12.14	Wrexham - Bristol Rovers	0:0
09.09.14	Bristol Rovers - Wrexham	1:0

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