Match Info

League One - Round 41

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Bolton Wanderers		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.38	5	7
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.39	4.67	7.48	Watch
	1.4	4.8	7.5
	1.4	4.9	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.84 ↑ (4.03)	7.21 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
67.5%

Draw
19.5%

Bristol Rovers
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.8%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.9%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baxter N. (G) 15. Forrester W. 21. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 16. Morley A. 8. Sheehan J. (C) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 7. Mendes C. 45. McAtee J. 19. Collins A.	31. Ward J. (G) 4. Moore T. 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 25. Swinkels S. 14. Sawyers R. 28. Forde S. 37. Shaw K. 26. Butcher M. 10. Sotiriou R. 24. O'Donkor G.
Substitutes
22. Dempsey K. 29. Etete K. 2. Jones G. 28. Matete J. 31. Randall J. 20. Southwood L. (G) 4. Thomason G.	35. Hall M. (G) 32. Hunt J. 19. Hutchinson I. 30. Reindorf M. 7. Sinclair S. 11. Thomas L. 8. Ward G.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Forrester W. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
30', Butcher M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Forde S. 🟨,
64', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
65', Forde S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
65', Sawyers R. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
72', Morley A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
72', Mendes C. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽, Jones G. (A),
77', Shaw K. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
77', O'Donkor G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
80', Moore T. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.

Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol Rovers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.

In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Bolton: Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Santos R. (Lower Back Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Moore T. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
01.04.25	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Blackpool - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bolton Wanderers - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
01.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers	5:0 ✺
11.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.03.25	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	3:2
06.04.24	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	0:2
16.12.23	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:2
07.05.23	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	2:3
02.12.22	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:1
28.01.20	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:1
22.10.19	Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	0:2

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