Match Info

League One - Round 45

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bristol Rovers		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	2.85	3.5	2.35
	2.92	3.57	2.41
	2.87	3.37	2.38	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	2.91	3.45	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.76)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.31 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
32%

Draw
27.2%

Reading
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Bristol Rovers - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Reading will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ward J. (G) 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 25. Swinkels S. 32. Hunt J. 26. Butcher M. 14. Sawyers R. 6. Mola C. 37. Shaw K. 10. Sotiriou R. 24. O'Donkor G.	22. Pereira J. (G) 14. Rushesha T. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 7. Knibbs H. 29. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 20. Campbell C. 19. Wareham J. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.
Substitutes
43. Dewsbury O. 35. Hall M. (G) 29. Lindsay J. 4. Moore T. 7. Sinclair S. 11. Thomas L. 8. Ward G.	37. Akande A. 10. Bodin B. 28. Camara M. 11. Carroll T. 41. Norcott T. (G) 38. Stickland M. 17. Yiadom A.
Coaches
Calderon I.	Hunt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
73', Mola C. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
73', Shaw K. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
76', Rushesha T. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
82', Swinkels S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
82', O'Donkor G. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
86', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
90+1', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
90+2', Wareham J. ↓, Stickland M. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Campbell C. ⚽, Knibbs H. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).

Bristol Rovers has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Reading is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reading will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Craig M. (Injury) Dean H. (Hip Injury) Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury) Elliott B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive) Sotiriou R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Abrefa K. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
21.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Wrexham - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
01.04.25	Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLLL
- Reading
English League One
21.04.25	Mansfield Town - Reading	1:5 ✺
18.04.25	Reading - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Northampton Town - Reading	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Shrewsbury Town - Reading	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.10.24	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:0
09.04.24	Bristol Rovers - Reading	0:2
07.11.23	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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