Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Blackpool		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	8
	1.32	5.5	8.75
	1.33	5.5	9.5	Watch
	1.46	4.67	6.4
	1.32	5.44	9.01
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.31	5.45	8.7	Watch
	1.33	5.4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.51)	5.31 ↑ (4.15)	8.21 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
70.7%

Draw
17.8%

Forest Green Rovers
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

21.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackpool's performance.

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Blackpool - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Blackpool will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Donnell R. (G) 20. Casey O. 21. Ekpiteta M. 2. Connolly C. (C) 4. Gabriel J. 8. Morgan A. 17. Virtue-Thick M. 23. Thompson D. 7. Dale O. 9. Joseph K. 18. Beesley J.	1. Daniels L. (G) 28. Jones C. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 22. Welch R. 17. Robson J. 6. Jenks T. 8. McCann C. 27. Bunker H. 23. Omotoye T. 9. Stevens M.
Substitutes
10. Carey S. 11. Dembele K. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 22. Hamilton C. 24. Lyons A. 6. Norburn O. 5. Pennington M. 16. Rhodes J. 15. Weir J.	12. Bendle A. 29. Brown R. 14. Deeney T. 4. Johnson D. 7. McAllister K. 39. Morton C. 20. Searle J. (G) 24. Sully O.
Coaches
Critchley N.	Horseman D.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Blackpool is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
16.12.23	Cambridge United - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
09.12.23	Blackpool - Carlisle United	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Blackpool - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Blackpool - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Portsmouth - Blackpool	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
16.12.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	2:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

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