Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Forest Green Rovers		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.73
	4.33	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.3	3.78	1.76
	4.31	3.78	1.76
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	4.1	3.76	1.75
	3.85	3.75	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.6)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
22.8%

Draw
24.7%

Oxford United
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.5%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Searle J. (G) 3. Bernard D. 17. Robson J. 27. Bunker H. 5. Inniss R. 28. Jones C. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 8. McCann C. 23. Omotoye T. 14. Deeney T. 6. Jenks T.	13. Eastwood S. (G) 4. Thorniley J. 14. Smyth O. 17. Henry J. 6. McEachran J. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Bennett J. 20. Rodrigues R. 39. O'Donkor G. (C) 28. Negru S. 25. Gorrin A.
Substitutes
12. Bendle A. 25. Dabo F. 4. Johnson D. 39. Morton C. 41. Pagel F. (G) 19. Robertson S. 22. Welch R.	1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Golding J. 9. Harris M. 7. Mills S. 5. Moore E. 23. Murphy J. 15. Stevens F.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Buckingham D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0.

Recent matches Forest Green is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
28.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Scarborough Athletic	5:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWL
- Oxford United
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Oxford United - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Leyton Orient - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Oxford United - Chelsea U21	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.04.23	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:3
19.11.22	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 penalties
English FA Cup
20.11.18	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:3
10.11.18	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
06.12.15	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0

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