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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 47.8%
Draw 26.9%
Northampton Town 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
27.9%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
27.2%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Blackpool - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Blackpool will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Blackpool will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 12. Grant K. 20. Ihiekwe M. 4. Casey O. 22. Hamilton C. 10. Honeyman G. (C) 6. Brown J. 26. Ashworth Z. 17. Randall J. 11. Fletcher A. 21. Obafemi M.
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 12. Guinness-Walker N. 16. Wormleighton J. 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 21. Perkins J. 11. Swyer K. 27. Vale J. 7. Hoskins S.
Substitutes
14. Bloxham T. 19. Bowler J. 9. Ennis N. 7. Evans L. 28. Finnigan R. 2. Lyons A. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 35. Dyche M. 9. Eaves T. 17. Jacobs M. 10. List E. 6. Willis J.
Coaches
Evatt I.
Nolan K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ashworth Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Taylor T. 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Fletcher A. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Hoskins S. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
66', Obafemi M. 🟨,
66', Obafemi M. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
75', Swyer K. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
75', Vale J. ↓, List E. ↑,
77', Randall J. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
81', Taylor T. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
81', McCarthy C. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
83', Brown J. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
84', Fletcher A. ↓, Ennis N. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 2.
Blackpool is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Northampton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Blackpool could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Blackpool: Coulson H.
(Inactive)
Horsfall F.
(Inactive)
Ihiekwe M.
(Inactive)
Taylor D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Northampton: Forbes M.
(Inactive)
Fornah T.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wheatley E.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: McGeehan C.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Outrights of English League One for now
Blackpool: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Blackpool
8
2
2
4
13:14
-1
8
Last Results with these Odds
Blackpool - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Northampton Town - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 24.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.