Match Info

FA Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Blackpool		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.7	3.8
	1.85	3.7	3.7
	1.94	3.91	3.69
	1.97	3.45	3.59	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	1.95	3.64	3.57	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)	3.69 ↑ (3.68)	3.64 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
49.2%

Draw
25.3%

Carlisle United
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Blackpool - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 4. Casey O. 5. Horsfall F. 26. Ashworth Z. 23. Banks S. 10. Honeyman G. (C) 6. Brown J. 29. Hansson E. 15. Coulson H. 11. Fletcher A. 14. Bloxham T.	25. Lewis H. (G) 22. Williams J. 18. Ellis J. 6. Hayden A. (C) 3. Harper C. 37. Macadam H. 20. Gilliead A. 7. Ajiboye D. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
41. Bondo T. 19. Bowler J. 7. Evans L. 22. Hamilton C. 3. Husband J. 30. Imray D. 2. Lyons A. 8. Morgan A. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G)	31. Atkinson H. 1. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 21. Jones J. 9. Kelly G. 11. Luamba J. 15. Murray S. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Hughes M

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bloxham T. ⚽, Banks S. (A),
30', Ashworth Z. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Fletcher A. ⚽, Hansson E. (A),
38', 3 - 0, Banks S. ⚽, Honeyman G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hansson E. ↓, Evans L. ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Armstrong L. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
57', 4 - 1, Fletcher A. ⚽,
57', Banks S. ↓, Imray D. ↑,
60', Gilliead A. 🟨,
61', Brown J. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
61', Ashworth Z. ↓, Husband J. ↑,
64', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
69', Macadam H. ↓, Atkinson H. ↑,
69', Linney R. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
69', Ajiboye D. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
76', Fletcher A. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
76', Gilliead A. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
90+1', Coulson H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 4.

Blackpool is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carlisle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Blackpool has had a series of away games.

Blackpool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Blackpool - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	4:2 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Blackpool - Reading	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Leyton Orient - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTLL
- Carlisle United
English National League
29.11.25	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Boston United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Carlisle United - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Southend United - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Carlisle United - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.04.24	Carlisle United - Blackpool	0:1
09.12.23	Blackpool - Carlisle United	3:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Carlisle United - Blackpool	0:1
English EFL Trophy
15.10.19	Carlisle United - Blackpool	2:1
English League Two
11.02.17	Carlisle United - Blackpool	1:4
17.09.16	Blackpool - Carlisle United	2:2

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