Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Blackpool		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.73	6.2
	1.45	4.73	6.07
	1.35	4.6	6
	1.44	4.95	5.4
	1.41	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.32)	4.67 ↓ (4.9)	6.05 ↓ (7.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
65.1%

Draw
19.7%

Morecambe
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.7%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

15.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Blackpool - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackpool: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Donnell R. (G) 33. Tharme D. 20. Casey O. (C) 44. Squires W. 4. Gabriel J. 30. Oakley-Boothe T. 37. Mariette L. 15. Weir J. 24. Lyons A. 18. Beesley J. 36. Josh M.	21. Smith A. (G) 12. Senior J. 5. Rawson F. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 3. Tutonda D. 7. Bloxham T. 6. Songo'o Y. 10. McKiernan J. J. 16. Davenport J. 11. Mayor A. 14. Slew J.
Substitutes
13. Chapman M. (G) 45. Donkor K. 46. Jones J. 47. Josh N. 48. Lescott D. 49. Opawole J. 42. Trusty T.	22. Connolly J. 23. Melbourne M. 27. Mercer N. 26. Pedley G. (G) 24. Rooney C. 17. Smith C. 19. Walker E.
Coaches
Critchley N.	Adams D.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Blackpool is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
11.11.23	Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Bromley - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
English League One
01.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	3:3 ✺
28.10.23	Blackpool - Peterborough United	2:4 ✺
24.10.23	Blackpool - Cheltenham Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLW
- Morecambe
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Lincoln City - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English League Two
31.10.23	Barrow - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
24.10.23	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.23	Morecambe - Blackpool	1:1
English FA Cup
09.11.19	Blackpool - Morecambe	4:1
English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Blackpool - Morecambe	5:1
English League Two
04.03.17	Blackpool - Morecambe	3:1
13.08.16	Morecambe - Blackpool	2:1

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