Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Referee: Mulligan J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Morecambe		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.32	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	2.75	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.72	3.33	2.52	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.62
	2.72	3.52	2.39	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.69)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
34.8%

Draw
27.5%

Tranmere Rovers
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Morecambe aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 4. White T. 28. Jones C. 18. Tollitt B. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 7. Edwards G. 19. Dackers M.	1. McGee L. (G) 22. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 3. Bradshaw Z. 17. Finley S. 7. Morris K. 19. Saunders H. 21. Solomon S. 30. Patrick O. 18. Jennings C.
Substitutes
26. Dobson L. 9. Hope H. 3. Lewis A. 22. Millen R. 21. Scales A. (G) 11. Slew J. 5. Taylor M.	10. Davison J. 14. Dennis K. 35. Drysdale D. 25. Egan R. (G) 28. Khan S. 2. Norman C. 4. Walker B.
Coaches
Adams D.	Adkins N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', White T. 🟨,
34', Finley S. 🟨,
39', O'Connor L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', Solomon S. ↓, Khan S. ↑,
69', Saunders H. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Songo'o Y. ⚽, Dackers M. (A),
73', Saunders H. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
79', Tollitt B. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
79', Edwards G. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Stott J. ⚽, Songo'o Y. (A),
89', Finley S. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
89', Bradshaw Z. ↓, Walker B. ↑,
89', O'Connor L. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
90', Dackers M. ↓, Hope H. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Two
29.12.24	Salford City - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Carlisle United - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Morecambe - Bromley	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Morecambe	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Morecambe - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
29.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Barrow	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Rotherham United - Tranmere Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.12.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:2
13.02.24	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	2:3
24.10.23	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
23.05.21	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
20.05.21	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	1:2
30.01.21	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
31.10.20	Tranmere Rovers - Morecambe	0:1

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