Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Lincoln City		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.65	4	5
	1.68	3.75	4.5
	1.68	3.92	5.2
	1.66	3.92	5.2
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.66	3.88	4.95	Watch
	1.6	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.47)	3.92 ↓ (4.28)	4.92 ↓ (6.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
56.8%

Draw
24%

Morecambe
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lincoln City's form might have worsened.

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Lincoln City - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 22. Eyoma T. 5. Jackson A. 15. O'Connor P. 16. Burroughs J. 11. Hamilton E. 6. Erhahon E. 14. Mandroiu D. 2. Sorensen L. 21. Adelakun H. 8. Smith A.	21. Smith A. (G) 12. Senior J. 22. Connolly J. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 3. Tutonda D. 7. Bloxham T. 11. Mayor A. 10. McKiernan J. J. 8. King E. 14. Slew J. 9. Mellon M.
Substitutes
3. Brown J. 17. Duffy D. 27. Makama J. 25. Mitchell A. 30. Shodipo O. 29. Vale J. 12. Wright J. (G)	20. Brown C. 16. Davenport J. 2. Love D. 23. Melbourne M. 26. Pedley G. (G) 5. Rawson F. 17. Smith C. 6. Songo'o Y. 19. Walker E.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.

Recent matches Lincoln is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morecambe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
31.10.23	Lincoln City - Oxford United	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Exeter City - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Lincoln City - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWWL
- Morecambe
English League Two
31.10.23	Barrow - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
24.10.23	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Sutton United - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Morecambe - Barrow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.04.23	Morecambe - Lincoln City	3:2
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1 penalties
English League One
19.11.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1
08.02.22	Lincoln City - Morecambe	2:1
28.09.21	Morecambe - Lincoln City	2:0
English League Two
23.02.19	Morecambe - Lincoln City	0:2
15.12.18	Lincoln City - Morecambe	3:1

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