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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 54.9%
Draw 25.8%
Morecambe 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
23.1%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
22.8%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grimsby Town's form might have worsened.
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grimsby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Grimsby Town - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannett C. 33. Hume D. 19. Turi G. D. 4. Green K. 30. Khouri E. 18. Burns D. 32. Rose D. 14. Barrington L.
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 3. Lewis A. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 17. Lewis P. 28. Jones C. 4. White T. 33. Garner G. 10. Angol L. 9. Hope H.
Substitutes
7. Davies J. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 20. McEachran G. 11. Svanthorsson J. 6. Thompson C. 10. Vernam C. 21. Warren T.
20. Cooke C. 19. Dackers M. 16. Dallas A. 12. Schofield R. (G) 11. Slew J. 24. Songo'o Y. 18. Tollitt B.
Coaches
Artell D.
Adams D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Lewis P. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Green K. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Dallas A. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
39', Turi G. D. 🟨,
40', Dallas A. 🟨,
45+1', Hume D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Barrington L. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
63', Hope H. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
63', White T. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
67', Tutonda D. 🟨,
72', Tutonda D. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
75', Burns D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
77', Tharme D. 🟨,
79', Stott J. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
79', Dallas A. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Barrington L. (A),
81', 🟨,
85', Green K. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
86', Jones C. 🟨,
90+2', Barrington L. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
There will not play in Grimsby: Cass L.
(Injury)
Gardner C.
(Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Inactive)
Vernam C.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:18 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).
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Wright J. (G) 
Turi G. D. 
Burns D. 
Tutonda D. 
Jones C. 
Hope H. 
Svanthorsson J. 
Dallas A. 
Songo'o Y. 
Artell D. 
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