The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackpool 23.3%
Draw 26.4%
Norwich City 50.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27%
27.1%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
27.2%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.1%
9.4%
62.5%
Blackpool - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Norwich will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 45.7% โ 79.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Blackpool has the most likely position - 24 (8.8%), has project points - 54, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Norwich has the most likely position - 1 (26.41%), has project points - 84, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (26%).
This event has quality46, importance42, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Blackpool is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Norwich is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Norwich is a favorite.
There will not play in Blackpool: Anderson K.
(Injury)
Beesley J.
(Injury)
Stewart K.
(Injury)
Wright C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Norwich: Gibbs L.
(Injury)
Hayden I.
(Knee Injury)
Idah A.
(Injury)
Rowe J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Norwich: Giannoulis D.
(Injury)
McCallum S.
(Injury)
Sorensen J.
(Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.