Match Info

Championship - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
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Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV5
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Birmingham City		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	5	Watch
	1.68	3.94	4.91	Watch
	1.68	3.85	4.92
	1.69	3.85	4.82	Watch
	1.64	3.86	5.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.84 ↑ (3.81)	4.95 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
56.5%

Draw
24.5%

Norwich City
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Birmingham City - Norwich City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Norwich (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 12. Leonard M. 10. Gray D. 28. Stansfield J. 16. Roberts P. 33. Ducksch M.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 3. Stacey J. 4. Duffy S. 6. Darling H. 35. Fisher K. 23. McLean K. (C) 22. Topic M. 24. Makama J. 30. Kvistgaarden M. 29. Schwartau O. 9. Sargent J.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 14. Anderson K. 41. Cashin E. 17. Dykes L. 27. Fujimoto K. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 6. Robinson J.	18. Forson A. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 11. Marcondes E. 7. Mattsson P. 15. McConville R. 5. Medic J. 46. Mundle Smith E. 42. Springett T. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Davies C.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Ducksch M. ⚽, Gray D. (A),
15', Neumann P. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
30', Makama J. 🟨,
33', 2 - 1, Kvistgaarden M. ⚽,
35', Stacey J. 🟨,
44', 3 - 1, Ducksch M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 4 - 1, Stansfield J. ⚽, Gray D. (A),
60', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
73', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
73', Schwartau O. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
73', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
87', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
87', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
88', Sargent J. ↓, Mundle Smith E. ↑,
90+2', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norwich has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Muscle Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B. (Hamstring Injury) Cordoba J. (Muscle Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Gibbs L. (Hamstring Injury) Mahovo L. (Muscle Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Slimane A. (Thigh Injury) Stacey J. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Birmingham: Paik Seung-Ho (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League Championship
08.11.25	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Birmingham City - Millwall	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Birmingham City - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Preston North End - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW
- Norwich City
English League Championship
08.11.25	Norwich City - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Norwich City - Hull City	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Derby County - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.05.24	Birmingham City - Norwich City	1:0
30.09.23	Norwich City - Birmingham City	2:0
21.02.23	Norwich City - Birmingham City	3:1
30.08.22	Birmingham City - Norwich City	1:2
English League Cup
09.08.22	Norwich City - Birmingham City	3:2 penalties
English League Championship
23.02.21	Birmingham City - Norwich City	1:3
20.10.20	Norwich City - Birmingham City	1:0

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