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Current Win Probability
Derby County 38.1%
Draw 29.3%
Norwich City 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
27.6%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
27.8%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Derby County - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Derby (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 22. Johnston M. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 20. Elder C. 18. Ozoh D. 32. Adams E. (C) 10. Brewster R. 9. Morris C. 25. Brereton Diaz B. 7. Agyemang P.
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 3. Stacey J. 5. Medic J. 6. Darling H. 22. Topic M. 7. Mattsson P. 23. McLean K. (C) 24. Makama J. 8. Gibbs L. 29. Schwartau O. 9. Sargent J.
Substitutes
4. Batth D. 11. Blackett-Taylor C. 42. Clark B. 19. Jackson K. 6. Langas S. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 14. Weimann A.
17. Crnac A. 35. Fisher K. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 10. Jurasek M. 11. Marcondes E. 15. McConville R. 27. Schlupp J. 42. Springett T. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Eustace J.
Manning L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Stacey J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brewster R. ↓, Langas S. ↑,
47', Sanderson D. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Ozoh D. ⚽, Agyemang P. (A),
60', Adams E. 🟨,
60', Topic M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
61', Makama J. ↓, Crnac A. ↑,
76', Gibbs L. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
81', Schwartau O. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
85', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
85', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
85', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
90+3', Ozoh D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
Recent form of Derby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Norwich is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Thompson L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cordoba J.
(Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Calf Injury)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Kvistgaarden M.
(Knee Injury)
Slimane A.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Derby won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
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Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Johnston M. 
Sanderson D. 
Elder C. 
Adams E. (C) 
Brereton Diaz B. 
Agyemang P. 
Kovacevic V. (G) 
Medic J. 
Topic M. 
Mattsson P. 
Langas S. 
Weimann A. 
Jurasek M. 
McConville R. 
Schlupp J. 
Springett T. 
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