Match Info

Championship - Round 29

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Norwich City		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.3
	3.07	3.71	2.18
	3.14	3.73	2.24
	3.06	3.75	2.18	Watch
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.05	3.56	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.35)	3.64 ↑ (3.35)	2.2 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
31.1%

Draw
25.9%

Coventry City
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	7.1%	50%

Norwich City - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Coventry will win (votes: 14 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 5 - 50%). Coventry (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Norwich (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Coventry (1.61) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Norwich (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Coventry (3.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Coventry (votes: 9 - 52.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 7. Mattsson P. 23. McLean K. (C) 42. Springett T. 20. Slimane A. 21. Ahmed A. 24. Makama J.	19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 4. Thomas B. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 6. Grimes M. (C) 29. Torp V. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 10. Mason-Clark E. 14. Esse R. 11. Wright H.
Substitutes
12. Amass H. 6. Darling H. 19. Diallo P. A. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 10. Jurasek M. 30. Kvistgaarden M. 29. Schwartau O. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.	21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 7. Sakamoto T. 9. Simms E. 13. Wilson B. (G) 26. Woolfenden L. 18. Yang Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Clement P.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Esse R. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Esse R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mattsson P. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
46', Springett T. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Slimane A. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
55', Cordoba J. 🟨,
62', Esse R. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
62', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Ahmed A. ⚽,
71', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
72', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
75', Ahmed A. ↓, Amass H. ↑,
78', Slimane A. ↓, Schwartau O. ↑,
82', Chrisene B. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3.

Norwich is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Coventry's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Duffy S. (Inactive) Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Kesler-Hayden K. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:8. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.7:0.6).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 4.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Coventry City - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
20.01.26	West Bromwich Albion - Norwich City	0:5 ✺
17.01.26	Wrexham - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Norwich City - Walsall	5:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Norwich City - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
01.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWLW
- Coventry City
English League Championship
20.01.26	Coventry City - Millwall	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Coventry City - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Stoke City - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.26	Birmingham City - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Charlton Athletic - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.09.25	Coventry City - Norwich City	1:1
04.01.25	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1
31.08.24	Coventry City - Norwich City	0:1
03.02.24	Norwich City - Coventry City	2:1
07.10.23	Coventry City - Norwich City	1:1
21.01.23	Coventry City - Norwich City	2:4
03.09.22	Norwich City - Coventry City	3:0

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