The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blau-Weiss Linz 18.2%
Draw 25.3%
Sturm Graz 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
26.6%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
25.6%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blau-Weiss Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sturm Graz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiss Linz than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
0%
88.2%
Blau Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sturm Graz will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sturm Graz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Baier V. (G) 4. Bakatukanda E. 15. Maranda M. (C) 16. Moormann M. 20. Seidl S. 6. Fofana M. 19. Briedl A. 60. Pirkl S. 18. Weissman S. 27. Goiginger T. 9. Ronivaldo
1. Christensen O. (G) 5. Oermann T. 47. Aiwu E. 24. Lavalee D. 17. Karic E. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S. 77. Malone M.
Substitutes
23. Bumberger D. 25. Huskovic M. 30. Maier N. 10. Mensah P. 13. Oelz V. (G) 17. Pasic A. 22. Schantl M. 24. Turner T. (G) 8. Wahling O.
22. Beck J. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 11. Kayombo A. 2. Mitchell J. 8. Rozga F.
Coaches
Morec M.
Saumel J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Chukwuani T. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Ronivaldo ⚽, Pirkl S. (A),
28', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
30', Bakatukanda E. 🟨,
45', Karic E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
56', Christensen O. ↓, Bignetti M. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Malone M. ⚽, Kiteishvili O. (A),
63', Ronivaldo ↓, Mensah P. ↑,
69', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
69', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Grgic L. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
75', 2 - 3, Weissman S. ⚽, Fofana M. (A),
78', Goiginger T. ↓, Pasic A. ↑,
78', Bakatukanda E. ↓, Huskovic M. ↑,
79', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
79', Malone M. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Fofana M. ⚽, Mensah P. (A),
87', 3 - 4, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Karic E. (A),
90+3', Rozga F. 🟨,
90+3', Moormann M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BW Linz won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
In this match, Sturm is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in BW Linz: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
Cvetko C.
(Ankle Injury)
Seidl S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sturm: Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Malic A.
(Health problems)
There are questionable in Sturm: Rozga F.
(Health problems)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, BW Linz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, BW Linz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Sturm Graz - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Austria
Germany
Serbia
World
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Baier V. (G) 
Bakatukanda E. 
Maranda M. (C) 
Fofana M. 
Weissman S. 
Christensen O. (G) 
Lavalee D. 
Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 
Kiteishvili O. 
Jatta S. 
Maier N. 
Mensah P. 
Grgic L. 
Mitchell J. 
Rozga F. 
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