Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	Sturm Graz		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.4
	2.1	3.6	3.5
	2.16	3.63	3.47
	1.46	4.61	6.20	Watch
	2.09	3.78	3.47
	2.49	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.46)	3.84 ↑ (3.63)	3.79 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
48.1%

Draw
25.8%

Glasgow Rangers
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.

Glasgow Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glasgow Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glasgow Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	8.1%	8.1%

Sturm Graz - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 51 - 83.6%). Rangers will win (votes: 5 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 74.3% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sturm (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Sturm (3.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sturm (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Rangers (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sturm Graz will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturm (votes: 38 - 95%). Rangers (votes: 2 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Christensen O. (G) 5. Oermann T. 47. Aiwu E. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 24. Lavalee D. 17. Karic E. 19. Horvat T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 21. Chukwuani T. 77. Malone M. 26. Beganovic B.	1. Butland J. (G) 2. Tavernier J. (C) 13. Cornelius D. 5. Souttar J. 30. Meghoma J. 8. Barron C. 43. Raskin N. 18. Antman O. 11. Aasgaard T. 23. Gassama D. 9. Chermiti
Substitutes
22. Beck J. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 27. Haider G. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 20. Jatta S. 2. Mitchell J. 39. Weinhandl L. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)	3. Aarons M. 16. Cameron L. 52. Curtis F. 99. Danilo Pereira 24. Djiga N. 31. Kelly L. (G) 64. McCallion A. 28. Miovski B. 47. Moore M. 49. Rice B. 6. Rothwell J. 32. Wright K. (G)
Coaches
Saumel J.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Horvat T. ⚽, Malone M. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Meghoma J. ↓, Aarons M. ↑,
46', Antman O. ↓, Miovski B. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Gassama D. ⚽, Raskin N. (A),
59', Beganovic B. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
68', Oermann T. 🟨,
68', Barron C. ↓, Rothwell J. ↑,
73', Malone M. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
73', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
73', Oermann T. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,
79', Cornelius D. ↓, Moore M. ↑,
83', Horvat T. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
83', Aasgaard T. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
90+4', Karic E. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sturm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rangers has had a series of home games.

Sturm is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Kiteishvili O. (Inactive) Malic A. (Injury)

There will not play in Rangers: Cameron L. (Injury) Diomande M. (Red Card) Matondo R. (Knee Injury) Nsiala C. (Inactive) Sterling D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Rozga F. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.25	Sturm Graz - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Midtjylland - Sturm Graz	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
17.09.25	Röthis - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.09.25	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL
- Glasgow Rangers
Scottish Premier League
28.09.25	Livingston - Glasgow Rangers	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Genk	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
20.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Hibernian	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Hearts	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT

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